Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 2, 2015 11:10

I have to say I was a little worried last night around 9PM then the storm started to slide a tad south and I said, we are in baby!

This is the HRRRR model showing the back end snow I mentioned this morning.

This is the HRRRR model showing the back end snow I mentioned this morning.

Folks, we are not out of the woods by any means – heavy icing today and the possibility of 1-3″ of snow on the back-end as a Low Pressure forms off the coast.
Worst of all, the temps are going to drop like a rock this afternoon and a Flash Freeze is likely so BE CAREFUL. Temps are 15* in Orange county NY and that is what to expect as the wind is now coming out of the North  again this afternoon. The storm does not end until the 2-4PM time frame from West to East.
Tonight single digits to near zero, icy conditions, wind chills negative -5 to -20 degrees below zero. Tomorrow morning is not going to be fun with brutal cold and icy conditions.
Oh and the KING IS BACK – Euro model nailed it, just like me – hahaha!!
Punxsutawney Phil says 6 more weeks of winter!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I beat him to the shadow as I posted a few days ago on my weather forum – look below little vermin trying to steal my thunder.
1-28-15 Post
Back end Nino pattern – like 77-78 shaping up “The ECMWF weeklies are very impressive. Very cold the entire month of February in the East w/ an initial -EPO/+PNA/-AO and longer term -EPO/-AO, eventually morphing into a -AO/-NAO as well. The two constants this winter continue to be the -EPO/+PNA couplet, thanks to the strongly positive PDO, and now Nino tropical forcing. We have a current stratospheric displacement event ongoing, especially at 70mb, which should aid in keeping the AO/NAO neutral to negative overall through the next several weeks. Everything seems to be falling into place for the cold / active Jan-Feb couplet which was anticipated for awhile. I won’t comment much on March, except that I don’t see any overwhelming signals for an early spring / torch pattern this year”
CLIFF NOTES…………………………………COLD, STORMY AND SNOWY – maybe the January I was calling for – we’ll see.
Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 2, 2015 11:10
Write a comment

1 Comment

  1. Butch February 2, 14:18

    Looking forward to more winter weather

View comments

Write a comment

Your e-mail address will not be published.
Required fields are marked*

Subscribe to Blog via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 188 other subscribers


February 2018
« Jan