SNOW THEN ICE THEN RAIN

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 15, 2016 12:07

CLOSE UP

PEEPS,

We have snow moving in faster than modelled yesterday and in most of central nj it is snowing now – oh and guess who jackpost this storm AGAIN – frickin DC – I hate them!! Looking at Winter Storm Warnings there for 4-7″ – nuts.

For us we have snow moving in my the afternoon and the temps are 18-20* so it will be sticking right away .

Latest HRRR – High resolution rapid refresh radar above shows snow moving in and becoming moderate this evening into tonight – it all ends around 1AM from this 1st wave – sorry peeps thought we could pull off a delayed or closed – may happen in Orange, Upper Rockland County and Western Passaic and Sussex Counties – NW Bergen & Southern Rockland may have a shot but I am not counting on it.

NYC Metro/WEstern and Central LI  2-3″ of snow and about 1″ of rain Tuesday as temps soar into the 50 degree range

LHV to NNJ – 3″ plus with about .10 -.20″of ice  tonight into early am tomorrow then we rain from about noon through tomorrow night.

NAM SAYS HI

CLOSER VIEW

Be careful of the ice tonight as the cold air hangs tough – it is dense low level cold air that does not scour or get pushed out easily

Why does it go from snow to ice to rain? The storm is cutting to our west (I mentioned this is my write up on Saturday) – if it stayed more east as progged up until yesterday morning we woudl have had a 4-7″ storm and IF the arctic high did not swing out of here so fast we would have had a major winter storm of 6″ plus.

Next week we start perhaps the last round of winter from Feb 22nd ish until about mid March with cold temperatures and snow storm chances, if we get things to fall right we may have another blizzard and this time frame has been historical for Sir Nor to visit – that is Nor’easter!!

Sorry if I got your hopes up for tomorrow kids  (aren’t we all when it snows??)but these what are called warm air advection or waa type storms always seem to be faster than modelled. IF again teh cold air can hang tough we may go 3-6″ for NNJ and LHV and the city around teh 3″ mark with icing conditions.

Updates to come.

AL Q

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 15, 2016 12:07
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