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Peeps,

Well the question I have been asked ALL Day:

Hey Mr. Mugno, AL Q we having school tomorrow?

My answer has been at worst a delayed opening at best a day off.

Schools in this area will wait till morning to see the conditions. Rockland Northern Westchester County closes, Bergen County Paramus & North – we are to snooty and we’ll wait – some delay, some close, south of Paramus opens, Passaic County Wayne North Closes, Sussex done deal closed, Morris county most likely delay to closings. Did I get them all peeps – Orange Like Sussex done deal shut er down!

Timing

Start: Around midnight

End Time around 10ish am

Amounts:

The NWS is harping on 3-5/6″ for the NNJ area North of Paramus and Rt 80 and 5-8″ for NW NJ (Northern Passaic County , Sussex), N Westchester and Rockland Counties &  LHV –  Orange County).

The Short Range Models have this – a pretty sharp cut off in Bergen County – Fort Lee 1-2″ up Mahwah 5-6″!

Not bad where do I sign?

Me want this big time!!

I’ll take this too!

Ain’t gonna turn this down either!

The storm ticked further west hence a sharp cut off.

NWS Upton has a nice description of this in their 7 pm update.  The thing that the I-95 crowd has to pin its hopes on is that the track of low could easily go 10-20 miles east of where its forecast (well within the error bars of the models), which would certainly bring that all snow line back towards the coast a bit, given the key sentence below: “Right now, it appears that it should remain all snow just north of HPN and DXR, and about 10 to 20 miles to the north and west of the I-95 corridor in New Jersey.”  

 

Geography? Meizys, Kuz, Dan O??? We are this distance easily right LOL!!!!!!!

That’s why forecasting winter storms in this area can be so challenging and why tracking them can be so much fun!!!

Okay so Schools again from Paramus North should see a delayed opening and if the timing holds starting around midnight and going until about 10am ish then we see Schools closing if we get the 3-6/7″ area wide in these counties.

Here is my call:

 

Parents LOL!

 

And my peers

 

Enough said.

Enjoy it and we again will have to wait till the endish of Jan and then we reload for Feb into earlish/midish March which could be……………..great!!!!!!!!!

Hey no wah wah if you don’t the day – I don’t make the call but I sure as heck want one!

 

AL Q