BUST, LAST DAY of MET Winter, ALL HAIL CANADA – Possible MECS Storm Friday

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 29, 2016 21:35

Peeps,

Well I am going to bust low for my snowfall total for the month of Feb and I am in jeopardy of this winter before all is said and done. I called for 10″ plus and so far we have had 7″ so I am 30% shy – ugghh if it was a sale I’d be happy happy but I am a dime short of a quarter on that call. Also, I am busting ion the below normal temps for Feb – we are going to finish about 1-1.5 degrees above normal. So what happened – we had the cold and blocking on the wrong side of the globe for God’s sake. Also, the polar Vortex did not split or dislodge and hold that position due to what was deemed as stratospheric warming from latent heat release from teh huge Siberian Snow extent – layman’s terms – teh cold air got bottled up North and when it came down it was in and out – like …………………….I’ll stop and refrain from a comment here.

Tomorrow is teh last day of met winter and I will do a write up later this month after I take in all the information but fact being in a nutshell the tropical forcing that i thought would help dominate the pattern got basically cancelled out due to the Indian Ocean – that’s right those wild Indians paid us back by cancelling out this forcing!

March 1 tomorrow ends Met Winter and we start Met spring – the days get longer and warmer and the sun angle increases.

Possible snow storm this Thursday night into Friday and then possibly again over teh weekend.

Why – well the PV is going to press down on Wed into Thursday and if it can escape out of here quicker than modelled by a few hours then there will be a coastal storm that will ride up the coast – it will not be rain and cut but could also go out to sea as most pro mets are harping on – you know what is going to happen peeps ……………………..

This maybe teh last chance for snow this season even though I think after mid month we may have another chance if timing is right due to the destruction of teh polar vortex and blockling that will take over – this will equal cold, raw and rainy possibly white – if this occurred in early Feb like I thought it would we would have rocked and I mean rocked the month with numerous snowstorms – can’t live life by IF’s now peeps.

Here is the set up and credit given to Armondo Salvatore for these graphics – two tracks and IF we can get the top track peeps we see 6-10″ up here possible a foot if it can phase or dig more south and head to the benchmark of 40/70 out in the ocean.

GFS & THE EURO ARE BOTH  coming around to this idea abut the CMC – ALL HAIL CANADA – model has been steadfast on this storm :

EURO S & E FOR NOW

 

CMC – ALL HAIL!!!!!!!!!

 

 

SO we have a system bringing rain again into the area Wed and then all eyes turn to Friday.

 

Updates to come

 

AL Q

 

 

 

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno February 29, 2016 21:35
Write a comment

No Comments

No Comments Yet!

Let me tell You a sad story ! There are no comments yet, but You can be first one to comment this article.

Write a comment
View comments

Write a comment

<

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Subscribe to Blog via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 236 other subscribers

POSTED FORECASTS

May 2024
M T W T F S S
 12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031