Cold, Sun CME, Milder then…..Fall Back Saturday, “Other” Info

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno November 4, 2021 19:08

Peeps,

 

COLD

Welp, the cold has taken hold and shall until about Monday. We have recorded our first freeze and frost’s in the burbs and now its LI and coastal Connecticut’s turn. Growing season is done peeps!

 

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Image.png.4dd5e2eccb99693b9798723cb093264f

BRRR Fri Morning

SAT Morning 8AM

SUN CME’s rattle spaceship earth!

Geomagnetic Storm level 3. The XFlare did not produce it and fizzled out but this one , a bit unexpected is going to make up for that flare.

KP 7 is a strong magnetic storm

 

 

Milder then.

TUESDAY = INDIAN SUMMER – yes I can say this!!

WED

Thursday

 

…….2nd half of November looks to be cold n possibly stormy!

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65

DEEP COLD AIR MASS MID NOV IF IT VERIFIES

This is always fun to do.  Below is the long range ensemble forecasts for both GEFS and Euro ENS depicting the mean 500mb height anomalies, valid 00z November 17th(15days from now)  Notice the most prominent feature on both maps is the dark blues south of the Aleutian Islands.  IF true this would lead to ridging along the West coast of NA; in turn troughing would be favored in the east.  This would def lead to BN air masses and early snow chances; esp for the interior….if true.

Now make sure we keep expectations in check as this is 15days out, and as I pointed out above, if the MJO forecasts come to fruition there will be resistance in the atmosphere.  It will be interesting to see how it evolves.  Ill try and post updated snap shots of the evolution as we go along.


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Long Range Discussion 22.0 - Page 3 Gfs-en21

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Long Range Discussion 22.0 - Page 3 Ecmwf-65

 

EURO showing a weak PV which would be good news for this upcoming winter. Follow the middle solid blue line – see how it dips – that is a good sign for December.



Long Range Discussion 22.0 - Page 3 Fdv7uy10

 

What else is new!!

 

 

Important human needs

Sleep

Healthy Diet

Exercise

Hydration

Sun

This is heart wrenching and it not by chance peeps wake up over 17K have died from the jab and 2700 miscarriages = NEFARIOUS!

 

No SHIT SHERLOCK – you are a terrible of a scientist and doctor!!

Step down!

SUCKERS!!

WE GAIN AN EXTRA HOURS SLEEP SATURDAY NIGHT WOO HOO BUT……….

Have a great night. Stay warm and updates to come.

Enjoy the post.

Al Q

 

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno November 4, 2021 19:08

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