Mon. Storm Recap, Ice Ice Baby Wednesday Morning Commute, Thursday/Fri Snow

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno January 4, 2022 20:07

Peeps,

Mon Storm Recap

The storm Monday stayed more South than modelled by the world renowned EURO adn GFS global models but not but the short range HRRR or NAM models. The snow totals were further south of the 6″ than originally thought by about about 10 miles but good call overall and SNJ got slammed with a foot in some spots.

Northern Virginia got slammed by the storm as did Tennessee and North Carolina mountains.

 

 

 

..New Jersey...

...Atlantic County...
Egg Harbor Twp.              13.5 in   0730 PM 01/03   Public               
Estell Manor                 13.3 in   0400 PM 01/03   Public               
Absecon                      13.0 in   0343 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Atlantic City International  13.0 in   0700 PM 01/03   ASOS                 
Northfield                   12.4 in   0530 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
3 NE Hamilton Twp            12.0 in   0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 NNE Somers Point           11.4 in   0405 PM 01/03   Public               
Galloway Twp                 11.2 in   0500 PM 01/03   Public               
Somers Point                 11.0 in   0420 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Mays Landing                 11.0 in   0527 PM 01/03   Broadcast Media      
Egg Harbor Twp               10.0 in   0302 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Corbin City                  9.8 in    0644 PM 01/03   Public               
1 ESE Egg Harbor Twp.        9.5 in    0345 PM 01/03   Public               
Port Republic                9.0 in    0922 PM 01/03   Public               
Hammonton                    8.5 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      

...Burlington County...
1 ESE Leisuretowne           2.8 in    0120 PM 01/03   NWS Employee         
2 W Medford Twp.             2.0 in    1121 AM 01/03   Public               
1 WNW South Jersey Regional  1.2 in    0544 PM 01/03   NWS Employee         
Lumberton                    0.8 in    0142 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Delran                       0.6 in    1230 PM 01/03   NWS Employee         
Mount Holly WFO              0.6 in    0100 PM 01/03   Official NWS Obs     

...Camden County...
Winslow Twp                  5.5 in    0130 PM 01/03   Public               
1 SW Pine Hill               4.0 in    1200 PM 01/03   Public               
1 WSW Lindenwold             4.0 in    0300 PM 01/03   Public               
Gloucester Twp               3.8 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Lindenwold                   3.5 in    0215 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Cherry Hill                  3.0 in    0103 PM 01/03   Public               
Haddon Heights               1.6 in    1227 PM 01/03   Public               
Bellmawr                     1.3 in    1200 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      

...Cape May County...
Ocean City                   14.0 in   0522 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Seaville                     13.0 in   0643 PM 01/03   Public               
Petersburg                   12.5 in   0427 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Villas                       11.5 in   0426 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Cape May                     11.5 in   0500 PM 01/03   Public               
Wildwood Crest               11.5 in   0628 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Ocean View                   11.3 in   0147 PM 01/03   Public               
Wildwood                     11.3 in   0600 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
North Cape May               10.3 in   0200 PM 01/03   Public               
Marmora                      9.7 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
1 SE Marmora                 9.0 in    0500 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Woodbine                     8.5 in    0922 PM 01/03   Public               
North Wildwood               8.0 in    0400 PM 01/03   Public               

...Cumberland County...
Port Norris                  10.7 in   0501 PM 01/03   Public               
Millville                    6.3 in    0100 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Newport                      6.0 in    0330 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Cedarville                   5.5 in    0200 PM 01/03   Public               
Bridgeton                    5.0 in    0400 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Upper Deerfield Twp          4.5 in    0100 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      

...Gloucester County...
Newfield                     6.5 in    0520 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Franklinville                5.5 in    0330 PM 01/03   Public               
Williamstown                 5.3 in    0248 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Washington Twp               5.0 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
Greenwich Twp                4.5 in    0250 PM 01/03   Public               
Mantua                       4.0 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
Glassboro                    3.4 in    1127 AM 01/03   Public               
West Deptford Twp            3.4 in    0200 PM 01/03   Public               

...Ocean County...
Little Egg Harbor Twp        13.2 in   0400 PM 01/03   Public               
Barnegat Twp                 10.1 in   0314 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Manahawkin                   9.0 in    0620 PM 01/03   Public               
Tuckerton                    8.5 in    0400 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 E Forked River             8.0 in    0800 PM 01/03   Public               
Beach Haven                  7.0 in    0550 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 NNE Beach Haven            6.0 in    0200 PM 01/03   Public               
Forked River                 6.0 in    0405 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Barnegat                     5.8 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
Waretown                     5.5 in    0230 PM 01/03   Public               
1 SSE Stafford Twp.          5.0 in    1230 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Bayville                     4.0 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Manchester Twp               3.9 in    0400 PM 01/03   Public               
Toms River                   2.0 in    0254 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Brick                        1.8 in    0400 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 N Toms River               1.0 in    0401 PM 01/03   Public               
Lakewood Twp                 0.5 in    0153 PM 01/03   Public               
Jackson                      0.3 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter

 

Wednesday Morning

Ice Ice Baby – from 5/6 AM until about 10/11AM

Untitled.png

Light Freeing Rain and drizzle will be over the area for the morning rush hour. It will be a rough commute and I can see many delayed openings and closings possible by schools.

This is at 6AM tomorrow morning.

Thursday Night/Friday Morning Snow

I wrote about this in my last blog and it looks to be a 2-4″ event over NENJ, less as you go west -1-3″ and NY Metro is 2-4″ as well.

The storm has 60 hours before we start and needs a few more tweaks with the confluence over New England, and the ridge out over the North West. IF we can sharpen up the ridge out west then we can get teh storm to dig more and climb teh coast more and be a deeper more moisture laden storm. SO for now a 1-3″/2-4″ type of storm is on the table.

It will start late around 11PM Thursday and rend around 9/10AM Friday. Quick moving storm for sure and time will tell.

It may cause delayed opening and maybe a closing or two.

Here is the EURO. darker shades of green are heavier snows, lighter are light snows.

61d4e0c01cf61.png

61d4e0dadcc73.png

61d4e10424a9b.png

 

NAM says hello – hope its right!

January 7th 2022 Snowstorm Threat - Page 2 Namcon17

NWS in Upton’s first guess. Fair for now.

This woudl close schools for sure since the timing is very good and the accumulations are good too.


Enlarge this image Click to see fullsize
January 7th 2022 Snowstorm Threat - Page 2 Stormt10

 

I am not seeing this, sorry! Again I hope they are right too.


Enlarge this image Click to see fullsize
January 7th 2022 Snowstorm Threat - Page 2 Accuwe13

 

Be careful peeps and updates to come.

 

AL Q

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno January 4, 2022 20:07

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