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Peeps,

 

Tropical Depression Fay will be forming and coming up the coast. Have to say the models are way west into Eastern Penn to off the NJ coast into LI. If this were a hurricane are moderate Tropical Storm this would be a moderate damaging to severe damaging path.

Take the middle of the two models and I think this is what will happen – a NJ coast landfall – not really much.

Bullet Points for Lyncher, Malloy, Mitch and Butch:

Rainfall: 1-3″ for NJ and NYC Metro region

Timing: Friday afternoon through the night

Impacts: Some wind damage along the coast, flooding

Winds: 10-20 mph Gusts 20-30mph  especially along the coast – 35 plus gusts possible along teh coast

 

Maps:

EURO says off the coast

Enlarge this image Click to see fullsize

Enlarge this image Click to see fullsize

Gives a good soaking Rain

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WINDS not that bad – cut about 5 mph off the euro wind map gusts

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Normal windy day 10-15mph

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GFS

Wind Gusts 20-30 mph

Storm track

 

RPM what the pro mets use that I got my hands on from my Wx Board brethren

This was the 12z RPM total precip 2-4″ of rain

 

Enjoy today for tomorrow is going to be a washout – indoor activities.

Updates to come.

AL Q