HEAT, TROP RAIN, Trough returns,La Nina

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno May 28, 2016 18:17

WOW,

Peeps WOW has it been hot these couple days – my goodness 89 Thursday, 92 yesterday and 94 again today with a heat index of 102* today !!! WTH is this mid/late July, the dog days of summer or just we’re becoming Charleston SC??? I think not on the Charleston SC but we are in for a HOT summer (outlook coming soon and I know it is 25 days from the official start but been crazy busy peeps) !

Check out the Trop Storm Deuce (Bonnie):

The heat will dissipate over the next couple of days and we can see out first tropical rains tomorrow Sunday night late into Monday morning/afternoon thank to Bonnie – no shew will not make her way up here but her tropical moisture fetch shall. Tropical Storm #2  – yes our first one for the Atlantic was back in January if you recall, crazy as it may sound. I think we may be able to salvage later Monday afternoon.

 

 

 

 

Total rainfall about .5″ to 1.5″

 

Next up is the trough that will be redeveloping over the east starting the end of this week through the beginning of next week. This will mean unsettled, rainy and cooler conditions more so weekend through early next week.

 

La Nina:

Well as we transition from our Godzilla El nino to what some are determining as a strong La Nina we will have what I feel is a below normal June for temperatures and then we have an above normal July and August. We have a very warm pool of water off the west coast of North AMerica called a PDO which is positive. This will cause the atmosphere to respond in such a manner that we have seen since the second week of April with cool, wet conditions – something that should have come in this winter but it did not crash or dye!! It held on and had a double to triple peak/spike in warmth.

 

Warm water off NA on both coasts – this means inclose trop cyclone on the east coast  – my H’cane forecast will be wrapped into my summer outlook release as well – hint one word: ACTIVE!

 

What does La Nina’s usually mean? Well La Nina’s usually mean a drier and warmer summer and as we transition into this summer only 25 days away then we see what it shall bring. WE have the Pacific Ocean rapidly cooling and the main culprit to our above normal temperature winter the Indian Ocean has finally went blue = colder waters.

 

All of this will have an effect on our summer pattern as it starts to take shape in the next month.

Lastly, my call for last weekend Nor’easter fail;ed big time – the storm never materialized and I let my faithful followers down my apologies. The models that feed me my information need to be taken out a put out of my misery!

Have a great day and updates to come.

AL Q

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno May 28, 2016 18:17
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