SNOWSTORM Recap, Powerful Storm, Brutal Cold inbound in CONUS

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno January 8, 2024 15:17

SNOWSTORM Recap

Heavy front end thump then for parts of NNJ a quick changeover to a mix then a lull then back end snows until about 2pmish maybe 3pm since the model stops at 1PM below. I think it is running a tad too warm and the mix only makes it up to between I78 and I80 corridor.

Start time: 3pmish is on track

Actual: (Started at 3PM for Morris Cty into Passaic, I started at 3:40)

Snowfall amounts:
NYC Metro -2-3 maybe 4″” (yes the streak will be broken but it may happen again!!)

Actual : (only.2 – .5″ max but just outside recorded 2″) 

S Passaic & N Bergen CT – 4-8″

Actual: (Low end was reached of 4-4.5″)

W Passaic County, N Morris County and Sussex – 8-12″

Actual: W Passaic recorded 6″ but Sussex recorded from 10-14″)

CNJ 1-2″

Actual: (Recorded 2-2.5″)

Wrap around snows Sunday morning and snowed until 1PM ish was spot on – too bad it was 34* . If it was 32 or 31 degree we would have picked up another 1.5 – 2″ easily.

Snow ratios were pathetic for January at about 7:8 to 1 instead of 10 or 12:1. You would see this in early to mid December and in Mid to late March

Grade ??? B+ overall

It was majestic and absolutely beautiful as my wife, son and his gf took a walk in our neighborhood. To hear the silence and snow falling is indescribable to me, just something about it.

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Powerful Storm

Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning:

Rainfall: 2-4″ Flash Flooding/River Flooding expected

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Winds 20-30MPH sustained with gusts 40-50mph

Coast will see 30-40mph winds with 55-65/70 mph wind gusts are possible

Coastal flooding: Moderate to Major Possible 2-4′ above tide

 

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Even if you deduct 20/25% off this map it is still majorly strong winds

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Conservative RGEM model low end winds are concerning – I used this as my forecast!!!

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BRUTAL COLD inbound

Texas, Tennessee and Louisiana – people will die from this cold!

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Rimland – shiver me timbers!!

 

This is unprecedented cold air – record breaking type

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How cold??

-50’s for low temps in Montana

 

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Progression

 

Prepare for the extreme weather peeps, we aint seen nuttin’ yet possibly??

Prep that generator and sump pump!

Updates to come.

 

Al Q

 

 

Al Mugno
By Al Mugno January 8, 2024 15:17

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